Matthew Berry Breaks Down the 10 Key Facts You Need Before Week 12, 2025

Before we begin, a quick reminder: all Utilization Stats referenced below come from Dwain McFarland’s outstanding Utilization Report on FantasyLife.com.

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Thanks as always to producer Damian Dabrowski for his help putting this column together. Now let’s get into it.

10 Facts You Need Before Week 12

1. Over the past four weeks, no defense has given up passing touchdowns at a higher rate than the New York Giants.
1A. Since Week 6, the Giants have allowed opposing QBs an NFL-high 25 fantasy points per game.
1B. Jared Goff faces the Giants this week.
1C. Yes, Goff struggled last week — but this matchup puts him back on the radar.

2. Since being named the starter in Arizona, Jacoby Brissett has been the QB4 in fantasy.
2A. He’s finished as a top-12 QB in all five starts — no flukes here.
2B. He gets Jacksonville in Week 12.
2C. Five of the last six QBs to face the Jaguars have scored at least 20 points.

3. Since Week 6, no player has more goal-to-go rushing attempts than Derrick Henry.
3A. Henry has logged 20+ touches in five straight games.
3B. He faces the Jets this week.
3C. RBs with at least 15 carries against New York are averaging 19.7 fantasy points.

4. Samaje Perine has missed the last two games.
4A. In that span, Chase Brown is averaging 21.5 touches per game.
4B. He owns a 95 Utilization Score — fourth among RBs.
4C. He’s averaging 19 PPG (RB9).
4D. Perine is doubtful for Week 12 versus New England.
4E. Brown has a 26% target share over the past two games.
4F. The Patriots allow the most receptions to RBs this season.

5. In his six career games with 10+ touches, Packers RB Emanuel Wilson averages 13.3 fantasy points.
5A. He has reached double-digit points in every one of those games.
5B. Teams facing Minnesota average an NFL-high 26.3 RB rush attempts.

6. In his first game without Rashid Shaheed, Chris Olave posted a 31% target share — his best of the season.
6A. With Tyler Shough starting, Olave is averaging 20.1 yards per catch.
6B. Atlanta has allowed a WR to score 18+ fantasy points in four straight games.

7. Since Dan Campbell took over play-calling, Jameson Williams has finished as a top-10 WR in back-to-back weeks.
7A. He’s hit at least a 19% target share in both games.
7B. He reached that mark only twice in his first eight games.
7C. The Giants allow the fifth-most receiving yards to WRs.
7D. Also see Fact No. 1 — it all lines up.

8. Since Week 7, Alec Pierce has quietly been the WR17 in fantasy.
8A. He has scored at least 14 points in three of his last four.
8B. Pierce owns a 26% target share in that span.
8C. He’s averaging 8.8 targets per game.
8D. He plays the Chiefs this week.
8E. Since Week 7, Kansas City has allowed the highest completion rate on deep passes (15+ air yards).

9. Since Week 5, Travis Kelce has a 21% target share.
9A. In that same window, he ranks second among TEs in receiving yards per game.
9B. He faces Indianapolis in Week 12.
9C. The Colts allow the second-most yards per game to tight ends.
9D. They also allow the fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
9E. Indianapolis has given up TE touchdowns in four of the last five games.

10. No team has allowed more receiving yards to tight ends this season than Cincinnati.
10A. No team has surrendered more TE touchdowns, either.
10B. And no team has allowed more fantasy points to the position.
10C. Nine different tight ends have posted double-digit points against them.
10D. Hunter Henry is, indeed, a tight end.